Noémi Berlin, Chargée de recherche CNRS à EconomiX, Université Paris Nanterre

Jeudi 30 janvier 2025, nous accueillons Noemi Berlin, Chargée de recherche CNRS à EconomiX, Université Paris Nanterre.

Ses recherches portent sur l'économie comportementale, l'économie expérimentale, les comportements de santé et l'économie de l'éducation.

CV

Titre de sa présentation : Extreme macroeconomic risk, personal expectations and financial decisions: an information experiment on five European countries, article co-écrit avec Hamza Bennani et Pauline Gandré. 

Résumé : To evaluate expectations of future extreme macroeconomic risks --'macroeconomic disasters' and 'inflationary crises'--, and their relation to personal expectations and financial decisions, we conducted a survey experiment on representative samples of the population in five European countries: France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK. Exploiting both a between and within-subject design, we provided half of the participants with information about past extreme macroeconomic events in Europe. Our findings indicate that households present high expectations of future extreme macroeconomic events and that the causal effect of information provision on expectations highly depends on the country and the type of extreme risk. Information provision about past events can thus play out in opposite directions; however, it always increases the probability of revising one's expectations. We then find that expectations of extreme macroeconomic risks are transmitted to personal expectations about one's future standard of living, but their impact on expected saving and financial decisions is mixed, with meaningful differences across countries.

Le séminaire a lieu à 13h30, en salle 227.